New polling by CBS shows South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg in a three-way tie for first place in Iowa and falling to fourth place in New Hampshire.
Buttigieg, former Vice President Joe Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders each received 23 percent support among Iowa voters. Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren came in at 16 percent.
Polling in December had Buttigieg in the lead at 24 percent, with Sanders at 21 percent. Warren was at 18 percent and Biden 15 percent.
The Iowa caucuses kick off the Democratic presidential nominee process on Feb. 3, followed by the New Hampshire primary on Feb.11.
In New Hampshire, Sanders topped the field at 27 percent, followed closely by Biden at 25 percent. Warren had 15 percent support while Buttigieg had 13 percent.
A different poll last month showed Buttigieg with a 1 percentage point lead over Biden in New Hampshire, 18-17, with Sanders at 15 percent and Warren at 12 percent.
Among voters who have solidly made up their mind on which candidate to vote for, 67 percent of Iowa respondents and 65 percent of New Hampshire respondents who are backing Sanders said they are “enthusiastic” about their choice, top among all Democratic candidates.
The polls were conducted by YouGuv between Dec. 27 and Jan 3. They included 2,000 registered voters in Iowa (953 self-identified as Democrats) and 1,100 in New Hampshire (519 self-identified as Democrats).
None of the candidates, however, were given high chances of defeating President Donald Trump in November. Biden received the highest marks when participants were asked which candidate would “probably” defeat Trump, scoring 38 percent in Iowa and 36 in New Hampshire.
Sanders was at 29 percent in Iowa and 33 percent in New Hampshire. Warren received 24/22 and Buttigieg was 21/15.
When asked about their second choice, Iowa Democrats ranked Biden and Warren at 18 percent each, with Buttigieg right behind at 17 percent and Sanders at 15 percent. In New Hampshire, Warren was the top second pick at 21 percent. Sanders and Biden tied for second at 17 percent, while Buttigieg was at 13 percent.
Despite his lack of a campaign presence in either state, voters were still asked about former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg. Some 31 percent in Iowa and 27 percent in New Hampshire said they would “consider” him were he campaigning there.
Bloomberg has not filed to be on the ballot in the early four states – Nevada and South Carolina being the other two – and has instead been focusing on Super Tuesday and beyond.